The Black Swan
479 EGP
A groundbreaking exploration of rare, unpredictable events that have massive impact on history, markets, and human civilization. Challenges conventional thinking about probability, risk, and our ability to forecast the future.
This influential work examines how extremely rare and unpredictable events – termed ‘black swans’ – shape our world far more than we realize. The author critiques traditional risk assessment methods and statistical models, arguing that humans consistently underestimate the impact of outlier events while overestimating their ability to predict them. Blending philosophy, economics, and history, it appeals to academics, financial professionals, and general readers interested in decision-making under uncertainty. The book’s provocative thesis reshaped thinking about risk management across multiple disciplines.
| Dimensions | 392 × 170 × 260 cm |
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